Toledo Rockets
4–4 · 2–2 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
20%
MAC title game
10%
Win the MAC
0%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
Toledo is out of the playoff race.
How the week went: playoff odds 0% → <1% · title-game odds 20% → 28%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Toledo's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Toledo
Your game. Win and your Mid-American title-game odds are 24%; lose and they fall to <1%.
Final · Northern Illinois 3–42 ToledoWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Ohio
Mid-American race: Ohio losing helps your spot in the standings; Miami (OH) visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Miami (OH) 20–24 OhioWent the other way ✗
Root for Miami (OH)+3.1 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan
Mid-American race: Eastern Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Bowling Green 21–27 Eastern MichiganWent the other way ✗
Root for Bowling Green+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Massachusetts at Akron
Mid-American race: Massachusetts losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Akron — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Massachusetts 10–44 AkronWish granted ✓
Root for Akron+2.6 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11).