South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 9 · 2026

62%

American title game

41%

Win the American

24%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 11.6

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-9 job: beat UAB.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

If South Florida wins out: 69% to win the American, 56% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves South Florida's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 31

UAB at South Florida

Your game. Beat UAB and your playoff odds are 24%; lose and they drop to 9%.

South Florida 96%

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

TBD

THU OCT 29

Troy at James Madison

Troy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

James Madison 95%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

THU OCT 29

Florida Atlantic at North Texas

Florida Atlantic visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

North Texas 94%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Miami at North Carolina

North Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 93%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Temple at East Carolina

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play East Carolina in week 10.

East Carolina 88%

TBD

FRI OCT 30

Tulane at Charlotte

American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 13.

Tulane 92%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Wisconsin at Iowa

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 91%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Arizona at Texas Tech

Arizona winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 91%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Utah at Cincinnati

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 83%

45 more games that don't move your needle

Army at Memphis

Delaware at Western Kentucky

Sam Houston at Missouri State

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State

Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee

Missouri at Arkansas

Florida at Georgia

Auburn at Ole Miss

South Carolina at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at Texas

Arizona State at BYU

Baylor at UCF

Kansas at TCU

Kansas State at Colorado

Oklahoma State at Iowa State

California at NC State

SMU at Syracuse

Boston College at Duke

Clemson at Florida State

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh

Stanford at Louisville

Virginia at Wake Forest

Minnesota at Indiana

Illinois at Maryland

Washington at Nebraska

Northwestern at Oregon

Purdue at Penn State

Michigan at Rutgers

Nevada at UCLA

Ohio State at USC

Navy at Notre Dame

Texas State at Boise State

Washington State at San Diego State

Colorado State at Utah State

Oregon State at Fresno State

UConn at Air Force

New Mexico at San José State

Northern Illinois at UNLV

Bowling Green at Western Michigan

App State at Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina at Georgia State

Florida International at Liberty

Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Marshall at Old Dominion

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.