South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Preseason

WEEK 9 · 2026

The Week 9 job

Beat UAB and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

American title-game chanceNow44%Win46%Loss20%

UAB

UAB 7%South Florida 93%

South Florida

By importanceWatch plan

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…

TV TBA

Priority 1

Root for

Troy

at

James Madison

Root for Troy3.2-point playoff boost

Troy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

19% if Troy wins16% with the other result3.2-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance

…

…

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

Florida Atlantic

at

North Texas

Root for Florida Atlantic4.8-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida Atlantic visits your schedule in week 12: keep them ranked.

49% if Florida Atlantic wins44% with the other result4.8-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 3

Army

at

Root for

Memphis

Root for Memphis3.7-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings; Memphis visits your schedule in week 11: keep them ranked.

46% if Memphis wins42% with the other result3.7-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 4

Root for

Temple

at

East Carolina

Root for Temple3.1-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play East Carolina in week 10.

47% if Temple wins44% with the other result3.1-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

49 more games that don't move your needle

Tulane at Charlotte · ESPN2

Delaware at Western Kentucky · CBSSN

Sam Houston at Missouri State · ESPN2

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · ESPN2

Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Missouri at Arkansas

Florida at Georgia · ABC

Auburn at Ole Miss

South Carolina at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at Texas

Arizona at Texas Tech

Arizona State at BYU

Baylor at UCF · ESPN

Kansas at TCU

Kansas State at Colorado

Oklahoma State at Iowa State

Utah at Cincinnati

California at NC State

SMU at Syracuse

Boston College at Duke

Clemson at Florida State

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh

Miami at North Carolina

Stanford at Louisville

Virginia at Wake Forest

Minnesota at Indiana

Wisconsin at Iowa

Illinois at Maryland

Washington at Nebraska

Northwestern at Oregon

Purdue at Penn State

Michigan at Rutgers

Nevada at UCLA

Ohio State at USC

Navy at Notre Dame

Texas State at Boise State · The CW Network

Washington State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Colorado State at Utah State · USA Network

Oregon State at Fresno State · USA Network

UConn at Air Force · MW+

New Mexico at San José State · MW+

Northern Illinois at UNLV · CBSSN

Bowling Green at Western Michigan · CBSSN

App State at Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina at Georgia State

Florida International at Liberty · CBSSN

Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Marshall at Old Dominion

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.