South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Preseason

WEEK 6 · 2026

The Week 6 job

Beat UTSA and keep South Florida's season in its own hands.

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TV TBA

American title-game chanceNow44%Win63%Loss27%

South Florida

South Florida 48%UTSA 52%

UTSA

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 1

Root for

Charlotte

at

North Texas

Root for Charlotte5.2-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

49% if Charlotte wins44% with the other result5.2-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

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CBSSN

Priority 2

Root for

Tulsa

at

Navy

Root for Tulsa2.9-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings.

47% if Tulsa wins44% with the other result2.9-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 3

Root for

Rice

at

East Carolina

Root for Rice2.7-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play East Carolina in week 10.

47% if Rice wins44% with the other result2.7-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 4

James Madison

at

Root for

Georgia Southern

Root for Georgia Southern1.7-point playoff boost

Georgia Southern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

18% if Georgia Southern wins16% with the other result1.7-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 5

Root for

UAB

at

Memphis

Root for UAB2.0-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings; UAB visits your schedule in week 9: keep them ranked.

46% if UAB wins44% with the other result2-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance

50 more games that don't move your needle

Tulane at Army · CBSSN

Southern Miss at Troy · ESPN2

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · CBSSN

New Mexico State at Florida International · ESPN2

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Sam Houston at Liberty · ESPNU

Missouri State at Western Kentucky · CBSSN

Florida State at Louisville · ESPN

Washington State at Utah State · The CW Network

Georgia at Alabama

Tennessee at Arkansas

South Carolina at Florida

LSU at Kentucky

Texas A&M at Missouri

Texas at Oklahoma

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Hawai'i at Arizona State

Arizona at West Virginia

UCF at Oklahoma State

Houston at Kansas State

Iowa State at BYU · ESPN

Kansas at Utah

Duke at Georgia Tech

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Syracuse at Virginia

Virginia Tech at California

Wake Forest at NC State

Illinois at Michigan State

Indiana at Nebraska

Ball State at Northwestern

Maryland at Ohio State

UCLA at Oregon

USC at Penn State

Minnesota at Purdue

Iowa at Washington

Boise State at Fresno State · The CW Network

San Diego State at Oregon State · USA Network

UConn at Temple

Air Force at Northern Illinois · CBSSN

Nevada at UTEP

Wyoming at San José State · CBSSN

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Buffalo at Toledo

Central Michigan at Ohio

Kent State at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Old Dominion at App State

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Stanford at Notre Dame · NBC

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.