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South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
62%
American title game
41%
Win the American
24%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-11 job: beat Memphis.
Playoff odds by week
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If South Florida wins out: 69% to win the American, 56% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves South Florida's path
Your game
TBD
THU NOV 12
Memphis at South Florida

Your game. Beat Memphis and your playoff odds are 28%; lose and they drop to 9%.

South Florida 78%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
James Madison at UConn

UConn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

James Madison 79%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Duke at Miami

Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 88%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
East Carolina at Charlotte

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.

East Carolina 89%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
North Texas at UTSA

American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

North Texas 57%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Baylor at BYU

BYU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

BYU 81%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Tulane at Rice

American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 13.

Tulane 89%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Tennessee at Texas A&M

Tennessee winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 67%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Utah at Arizona
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
South Carolina at Arkansas
Missouri at Georgia
Florida at Kentucky
Texas at LSU
Auburn at Mississippi State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Alabama at Vanderbilt
California at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
USC at Indiana
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Minnesota at Penn State
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.