Toledo Rockets
0–0 · 0–0 MID-AMERICAN
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
60%
MAC title game
41%
Win the MAC
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat Buffalo.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Toledo's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Buffalo at Toledo
Your game. Beat Buffalo and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Toledo 88%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Mid-American race: Miami (OH) losing helps your spot in the standings; Massachusetts visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Miami (OH) 95%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Kent State at Western Michigan
Mid-American race: Western Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Western Michigan in week 8.
Western Michigan 91%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Central Michigan at Ohio
Mid-American race: Ohio losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio in week 13.
Ohio 84%
52 more games that don't move your needle
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.