Toledo Rockets
0–0 · 0–0 MID-AMERICAN
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
60%
MAC title game
41%
Win the MAC
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat Michigan State.
If Toledo wins out: 75% to win the MAC, 7% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Toledo's pathYour game
TBD
FRI SEP 4
Toledo at Michigan State
Your game. Beat Michigan State and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Toledo 68%
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Ohio at Nebraska
Mid-American race: Ohio losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio in week 13.
Nebraska 61%
Root for Nebraska+3.7 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Hawai'i at Stanford
Memphis at UNLV
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Fresno State at USC
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Texas State at Texas
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Tulane at Duke
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
North Texas at Indiana
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ball State at Ohio State
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
SMU at Florida State · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.