Toledo Rockets
0–0 · 0–0 MID-AMERICAN
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
60%
MAC title game
41%
Win the MAC
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-4 job: beat San Diego State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Toledo's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 26
San Diego State at Toledo
Your game. Beat San Diego State and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Toledo 72%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Boise State at Western Michigan
Mid-American race: Western Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Western Michigan in week 8.
Boise State 65%
55 more games that don't move your needle
James Madison at Old Dominion
UConn at Miami (OH)
Liberty at Coastal Carolina
Clemson at California
Navy at UAB
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas
Vanderbilt at Auburn
Ole Miss at Florida
Oklahoma at Georgia
Texas A&M at LSU
Missouri at Mississippi State
Texas at Tennessee
Arizona at Washington State
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Utah at Iowa State
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Central Michigan at Miami
Delaware at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Stanford
Missouri State at SMU
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Wake Forest at Louisville
Northwestern at Indiana
UCLA at Maryland
Iowa at Michigan
Nebraska at Michigan State
Illinois at Ohio State
Wisconsin at Penn State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Oregon at USC
Minnesota at Washington
Rice at Fresno State
Troy at Utah State
Oregon State at UTEP
Colorado State at UTSA
Army at Temple
Louisiana at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
South Florida at Bowling Green
Air Force at Nevada
Hawai'i at Wyoming
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
UNLV at Akron
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky
New Mexico at New Mexico State
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.