๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Troy Trojans

5โ€“2 ยท 3โ€“0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Troy beat Louisiana. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

Louisiana at Troy
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Sun Belt title-game chanceEntering73%Win77%Loss58%
Louisiana
Louisiana 22%Troy 78%
Troy
Final ยท Louisiana 23โ€“35 TroyWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Troy wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
UL Monroe
at
Southern Miss
Final ยท UL Monroe 21โ€“49 Southern MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 13.7-point title-game boost

Southern Miss won instead, so Troy did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if UL Monroe won71% with the other result14-point differenceTroy Sun Belt title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Georgia Southern
at
Arkansas State
Final ยท Georgia Southern 24โ€“34 Arkansas StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Arkansas State won instead, so Troy did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Georgia Southern won72% with the other result1.9-point differenceTroy Sun Belt title-game chance
50 other games had little impact
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech ยท ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia ยท ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State ยท ESPN2
Colorado at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Troy, then UL Monroe, Georgia Southern.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.