๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Troy Trojans

6โ€“4 ยท 4โ€“2 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Troy beat Georgia State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

Your game

Georgia State at Troy
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Sun Belt title-game chanceEntering36%Win38%Loss23%
Georgia State
Georgia State 14%Troy 86%
Troy
Final ยท Georgia State 19โ€“31 TroyWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Troy wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Louisiana
at
Arkansas State
Final ยท Louisiana 34โ€“30 Arkansas StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 15.9-point title-game boost

Arkansas State lost, improving Troy's place in the Sun Belt standings.

Entering-week projection44% if Louisiana won29% with the other result16-point differenceTroy Sun Belt title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Southern Miss
at
South Alabama
Final ยท Southern Miss 35โ€“42 South AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.0-point title-game boost

South Alabama won instead, so Troy did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Southern Miss won34% with the other result4-point differenceTroy Sun Belt title-game chance
57 other games had little impact
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah ยท ESPN2
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati ยท FOX
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Troy, then Louisiana, Southern Miss.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.