
San Diego State Aztecs
5–1 · 2–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
33%
MW title game
13%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 33% → 30%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves San Diego State's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
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… · FS1
UNLV at Boise State
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Boise State in week 12.
Final · UNLV 31–56 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Root for UNLV+6.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
San José State at Utah State
Mountain West race: San José State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play San José State in week 13.
Final · San José State 25–30 Utah StateWish granted ✓
Root for Utah State+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
…
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Mountain West race: Hawai'i losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Colorado State — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Hawai'i in week 11.
Final · Hawai'i 31–19 Colorado StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado State+2.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · FS1
Nevada at New Mexico
Mountain West race: New Mexico losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Nevada — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play New Mexico in week 14.
Final · Nevada 22–24 New MexicoWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+2.1 pp title-game odds
55 more games that don't move your needle
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8).