San Diego State Aztecs
8–2 · 5–1 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
58%
MW title game
23%
Win the MW
0%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
San Diego State is out of the playoff race.
How the week went: playoff odds 0% → <1% · title-game odds 58% → 71%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves San Diego State's pathYour game
…
… · FS1
San José State at San Diego State
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 64%; lose and they fall to 15%.
Final · San José State 3–25 San Diego StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · CBSSN
Utah State at Fresno State
Mountain West race: Fresno State losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat Fresno State; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Utah State 28–17 Fresno StateWish granted ✓
Root for Utah State+16.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · FS1
Colorado State at Boise State
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Colorado State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Colorado State 21–49 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado State+12.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBSSN
New Mexico at Air Force
Mountain West race: New Mexico losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play New Mexico in week 14.
Final · New Mexico 20–3 Air ForceWent the other way ✗
Root for Air Force+6.5 pp title-game odds
56 more games that don't move your needle
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13).