🏈 Fan Watch

San José State Spartans

23 · 10 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
The Week 7 recap

San José State lost to Wyoming. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

San José State at Wyoming
MW title-game chanceEntering12%Win18%Loss4%
San José State
San José State 54%Wyoming 46%
Wyoming
Final · San José State 2835 WyomingWent the other way ✗

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result San José State wanted
Impact 1
Rooted for
Air Force
at
UNLV
Final · Air Force 4851 UNLVWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.5-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so San José State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Air Force won11% with the other result5.5-point differenceSan José State MW title-game chance
Impact 2
Rooted for
New Mexico
at
Boise State
Final · New Mexico 2541 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.7-point title-game boost

Boise State won instead, so San José State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if New Mexico won11% with the other result3.7-point differenceSan José State MW title-game chance
Impact 3
Fresno State
at
Rooted for
Colorado State
Final · Fresno State 2149 Colorado StateWish granted ✓
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

Fresno State lost, improving San José State's place in the Mountain West standings.

Entering-week projection13% if Colorado State won11% with the other result2.1-point differenceSan José State MW title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
The rooting list was:San José State, then Air Force, New Mexico, Colorado State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.