San José State Spartans
0–1 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 2 · 2025
The Week 2 recap
San José State lost to Texas. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.
Your game
San José State at TexasMW title-game chanceEntering21%Win27%Loss21%
San José State
San José State 7%Texas 93%
Texas
Final · San José State 7–38 TexasWent the other way ✗
Nothing else moves the path
the rest is background footballNothing else meaningfully changes San José State's path. Watch the rest because it is football.
49 other games had little impact
James Madison at Louisville · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland · BTN
Florida International at Penn State · BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana · FS1
Iowa at Iowa State · FOX
Illinois at Duke · ESPN
Virginia at NC State · ESPN2
Baylor at SMU · The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh · ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse · ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech · TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State · CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Ole Miss at Kentucky · ABC
Kansas at Missouri · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers · Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon · CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State · The CW Network
Troy at Clemson · ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado · FOX
Texas State at UTSA · ESPN+
UAB at Navy · CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin · FS1
West Virginia at Ohio · ESPNU
South Florida at Florida · SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas · ESPN+
Missouri State at Marshall · ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte · ESPN+
Army at Kansas State · ESPN
Houston at Rice · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo · ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State · ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama · ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU · ESPN+
Arizona State at Mississippi State · ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska · BTN
Georgia Southern at USC · FS1
Boston College at Michigan State · NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama · SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV · CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State · ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State · The CW Network
Stanford at BYU · ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:San José State. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.