๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Cincinnati Bearcats

4โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Cincinnati beat UCF. Playoff odds moved from 2% to 4%.

Your game

UCF at Cincinnati
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering11%Win17%Loss4%
UCF
UCF 43%Cincinnati 57%
Cincinnati
Final ยท UCF 11โ€“20 CincinnatiWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Cincinnati wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Kansas
at
Texas Tech
Final ยท Kansas 17โ€“42 Texas TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.7-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Cincinnati did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection14% if Kansas won10% with the other result3.7-point differenceCincinnati Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Utah
Final ยท Arizona State 10โ€“42 UtahWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.6-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving Cincinnati's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection13% if Utah won9% with the other result3.6-point differenceCincinnati Big 12 title-game chance
53 other games had little impact
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Cincinnati, then Kansas, Utah.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.