๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#17Cincinnati Bearcats

7โ€“1 ยท 5โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 10 ยท 2025
The Week 10 recap

Cincinnati lost to Utah. Playoff odds moved from 13% to 2%.

Your game

Cincinnati at Utah
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering32%Win71%Loss26%
Cincinnati
Cincinnati 14%Utah 86%
Utah
Final ยท Cincinnati 14โ€“45 UtahWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Cincinnati wanted
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Impact 1
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Iowa State
Final ยท Arizona State 24โ€“19 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.9-point title-game boost

Arizona State won instead, so Cincinnati did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Iowa State won29% with the other result4.9-point differenceCincinnati Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Kansas State
Final ยท Texas Tech 43โ€“20 Kansas StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Cincinnati did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Kansas State won31% with the other result3.2-point differenceCincinnati Big 12 title-game chance
49 other games had little impact
UTEP at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State ยท ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA ยท ESPN
Memphis at Rice ยท ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas ยท ABC
Penn State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Rutgers at Illinois ยท NBC
Duke at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Miami at SMU ยท ESPN
UCF at Baylor ยท ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston ยท FS1
UAB at UConn ยท CBSSN
Army at Air Force ยท CBS
Navy at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Temple ยท ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida ยท ABC
Indiana at Maryland ยท CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota ยท BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College ยท ESPN
Delaware at Liberty ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State ยท FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Virginia at California ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Purdue at Michigan ยท BTN
Arizona at Colorado ยท FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Nebraska ยท NBC
Washington State at Oregon State ยท CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State ยท ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy ยท ESPNU
Hawai'i at San Josรฉ State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Cincinnati, then Iowa State, Kansas State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.