๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Texas State Bobcats

3โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Texas State lost to Arkansas State. Playoff odds moved from 7% to 4%.

Your game

Texas State at Arkansas State
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โ€ฆ
Pac-12 title-game chanceEntering56%Win60%Loss34%
Texas State
Texas State 83%Arkansas State 17%
Arkansas State
Final ยท Texas State 30โ€“31 Arkansas StateWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas State wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Rooted for
Tulsa
at
Memphis
Final ยท Tulsa 7โ€“45 MemphisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Memphis won instead, so Texas State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection9% if Tulsa won7% with the other result2.4-point differenceTexas State playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Miami at Florida State ยท ABC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Duke at California ยท ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Texas State, then Tulsa.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.