๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Texas State Bobcats

2โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2025
The Week 3 recap

Texas State lost to Arizona State. Playoff odds moved from 12% to 7%.

Your game

Texas State at Arizona State
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playoff chanceEntering12%Win18%Loss9%
Texas State
Texas State 31%Arizona State 69%
Arizona State
Final ยท Texas State 15โ€“34 Arizona StateWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas State wanted
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Impact 1
Ohio
at
Rooted for
Ohio State
Final ยท Ohio 9โ€“37 Ohio StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Texas State's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection12% if Ohio State won10% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas State playoff chance
45 other games had little impact
NC State at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Colorado at Houston ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona ยท FOX
New Mexico at UCLA ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Temple ยท ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern ยท FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan ยท BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Memphis at Troy ยท ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri ยท ESPN+
UConn at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Purdue ยท CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Washington State at North Texas ยท ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Texas ยท SEC Network
South Florida at Miami ยท The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Western Michigan at Illinois ยท FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Florida at LSU ยท ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa ยท BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Duke at Tulane ยท ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Akron at UAB ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State ยท FS1
Minnesota at California ยท ESPN
Boston College at Stanford ยท ACC Network
The rooting list was:Texas State, then Ohio State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.