Texas State Bobcats
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
43%
Sun Belt title game
25%
Win the Sun Belt
12%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
How the week went: playoff odds 12% → 13%.
If Texas State wins out: 69% to win the Sun Belt, 68% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas State's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State
Your game. Beat Eastern Michigan and your playoff odds are 12%; lose and they drop to 4%.
Final · Eastern Michigan 27–52 Texas StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UCF
UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 10–17 UCFWish granted ✓
Root for UCF+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Rice at Louisiana
Sun Belt race: Louisiana losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Louisiana in week 11.
Final · Rice 14–12 LouisianaWish granted ✓
Root for Rice+1.9 pp title-game odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Northwestern at Tulane · ESPNU
Iowa State at Kansas State · ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas · FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i · CBS
Boise State at South Florida · ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers · BTN
East Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Wyoming at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota · FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin · BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State · FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest · ACC Network
App State at Charlotte · ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor · FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado · ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Central Michigan at San José State · FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss · ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee · ABC
Texas at Ohio State · FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland · BTN
Ball State at Purdue · BTN
Toledo at Kentucky · SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana · FS1
Alabama at Florida State · ABC
Marshall at Georgia · ESPN
Nevada at Penn State · CBS
Temple at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia · ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M · ESPN
LSU at Clemson · ABC
Missouri State at USC · BTN
New Mexico at Michigan · NBC
UTEP at Utah State · CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Georgia Southern at Fresno State · FS1
California at Oregon State · ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona · TNT
Utah at UCLA · FOX
Colorado State at Washington · BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina · ESPN
Notre Dame at Miami · ABC
TCU at North Carolina · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1).