๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

East Carolina Pirates

2โ€“2 ยท 0โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2025
The Week 5 recap

East Carolina beat Army. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 3%.

Your game

Army at East Carolina
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American title-game chanceEntering8%Win15%Loss3%
Army
Army 54%East Carolina 46%
East Carolina
Final ยท Army 6โ€“28 East CarolinaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result East Carolina wanted
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Impact 1
Memphis
at
Rooted for
Florida Atlantic
Final ยท Memphis 55โ€“26 Florida AtlanticWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so East Carolina did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection10% if Florida Atlantic won8% with the other result1.9-point differenceEast Carolina American title-game chance
49 other games had little impact
South Alabama at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Rice at Navy ยท CBSSN
Tulane at Tulsa ยท ESPNU
Florida State at Virginia ยท ESPN
TCU at Arizona State ยท FOX
Houston at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas ยท ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota ยท BTN
USC at Illinois ยท FOX
Duke at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas ยท TNT
UCF at Kansas State ยท FS1
Bowling Green at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern ยท BTN
Ohio State at Washington ยท CBS
Indiana at Iowa ยท Peacock
California at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia ยท FOX
UConn at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Akron at Toledo ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force ยท FS1
Tennessee at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State ยท The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Georgia ยท ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri ยท ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State ยท NBC
Washington State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at Stanford ยท ACC Network
App State at Boise State ยท FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP ยท ESPN+
BYU at Colorado ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:East Carolina, then Florida Atlantic.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.