๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

East Carolina Pirates

7โ€“3 ยท 5โ€“1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

East Carolina lost to UTSA. Playoff odds moved from 2% to 0%.

Your game

East Carolina at UTSA
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American title-game chanceEntering17%Win29%Loss<1%
East Carolina
East Carolina 57%UTSA 43%
UTSA
Final ยท East Carolina 24โ€“58 UTSAWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result East Carolina wanted
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Impact 1
Tulane
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final ยท Tulane 37โ€“13 TempleWent the other way โœ—
Projected 40.2-point title-game boost

Tulane won instead, so East Carolina did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Temple won6% with the other result40-point differenceEast Carolina American title-game chance
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Impact 2
North Texas
at
Rooted for
Rice
Final ยท North Texas 56โ€“24 RiceWent the other way โœ—
Projected 31.6-point title-game boost

North Texas won instead, so East Carolina did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Rice won14% with the other result32-point differenceEast Carolina American title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Washington State
at
James Madison
Final ยท Washington State 20โ€“24 James MadisonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so East Carolina did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection4% if Washington State won2% with the other result1.5-point differenceEast Carolina playoff chance
56 other games had little impact
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah ยท ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati ยท FOX
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:East Carolina, then Temple, Rice, Washington State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.