East Carolina Pirates

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

In the books

WEEK 1 · 2025

The Week 1 recap

East Carolina lost to NC State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

East Carolina at NC State

…

ACC Network

American title-game chanceEntering5%Win6%Loss4%

East Carolina

East Carolina 29%NC State 71%

NC State

Final · East Carolina 17–24 NC StateWent the other way ✗

Nothing else moves the path

the rest is background football

Nothing else meaningfully changes East Carolina's path. Watch the rest because it is football.

47 other games had little impact

Iowa State at Kansas State · ESPN

Fresno State at Kansas · FOX

Sam Houston at Western Kentucky · CBSSN

Stanford at Hawai'i · CBS

Boise State at South Florida · ESPN

Ohio at Rutgers · BTN

Jacksonville State at UCF · ESPN+

Wyoming at Akron · ESPN+

Buffalo at Minnesota · FS1

Nebraska at Cincinnati · ESPN

Miami (OH) at Wisconsin · BTN

Western Michigan at Michigan State · FS1

Kennesaw State at Wake Forest · ACC Network

App State at Charlotte · ESPNU

Auburn at Baylor · FOX

Georgia Tech at Colorado · ESPN

UNLV at Sam Houston · CBSSN

Central Michigan at San José State · FS1

Mississippi State at Southern Miss · ESPN

Syracuse at Tennessee · ABC

Texas at Ohio State · FOX

Florida Atlantic at Maryland · BTN

Ball State at Purdue · BTN

Northwestern at Tulane · ESPNU

Toledo at Kentucky · SEC Network

Old Dominion at Indiana · FS1

Alabama at Florida State · ABC

Marshall at Georgia · ESPN

Nevada at Penn State · CBS

Temple at Massachusetts · ESPN+

Coastal Carolina at Virginia · ACC Network

UTSA at Texas A&M · ESPN

LSU at Clemson · ABC

Missouri State at USC · BTN

New Mexico at Michigan · NBC

UTEP at Utah State · CBSSN

Georgia State at Ole Miss · SEC Network

Rice at Louisiana · ESPN+

Eastern Michigan at Texas State · ESPN+

Georgia Southern at Fresno State · FS1

California at Oregon State · ESPN

Hawai'i at Arizona · TNT

Utah at UCLA · FOX

Colorado State at Washington · BTN

Virginia Tech at South Carolina · ESPN

Notre Dame at Miami · ABC

TCU at North Carolina · ESPN

The rooting list was:East Carolina. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.