Texas Tech Red Raiders

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Preseason

WEEK 9 · 2026

The Week 9 job

Beat Arizona and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow67%Win71%Loss41%

Arizona

Arizona 15%Texas Tech 85%

Texas Tech

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 1

Utah

at

Root for

Cincinnati

Root for Cincinnati3.9-point playoff boost

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

70% if Cincinnati wins66% with the other result3.9-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 2

Kansas State

at

Root for

Colorado

Root for Colorado2.7-point title-game boost

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.

80% if Colorado wins77% with the other result2.7-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 3

Root for

Oklahoma State

at

Iowa State

Root for Oklahoma State2.5-point title-game boost

Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings; Oklahoma State visits your schedule in week 11: keep them ranked.

80% if Oklahoma State wins78% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance

…

…

ABC

Priority 4

Root for

Florida

at

Georgia

Root for Florida1.6-point playoff boost

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

68% if Florida wins66% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 5

Root for

Arizona State

at

BYU

Root for Arizona State2.4-point title-game boost

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings.

80% if Arizona State wins77% with the other result2.4-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 6

Root for

Nevada

at

UCLA

Root for Nevada1.5-point playoff boost

Nevada winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

68% if Nevada wins66% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 7

Marshall

at

Root for

Old Dominion

Root for Old Dominion1.3-point playoff boost

Old Dominion winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

67% if Old Dominion wins66% with the other result1.3-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

46 more games that don't move your needle

Ohio State at USC

Auburn at Ole Miss

Kansas at TCU

Delaware at Western Kentucky · CBSSN

Sam Houston at Missouri State · ESPN2

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · ESPN2

Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Florida Atlantic at North Texas

Troy at James Madison

Tulane at Charlotte · ESPN2

Missouri at Arkansas

South Carolina at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at Texas

Baylor at UCF · ESPN

California at NC State

SMU at Syracuse

Boston College at Duke

Clemson at Florida State

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh

Miami at North Carolina

Stanford at Louisville

Virginia at Wake Forest

Minnesota at Indiana

Wisconsin at Iowa

Illinois at Maryland

Washington at Nebraska

Northwestern at Oregon

Purdue at Penn State

Michigan at Rutgers

Navy at Notre Dame

Texas State at Boise State · The CW Network

Washington State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Colorado State at Utah State · USA Network

Oregon State at Fresno State · USA Network

UConn at Air Force · MW+

Army at Memphis

Temple at East Carolina

UAB at South Florida

New Mexico at San José State · MW+

Northern Illinois at UNLV · CBSSN

Bowling Green at Western Michigan · CBSSN

App State at Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina at Georgia State

Florida International at Liberty · CBSSN

Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.