Texas Tech Red Raiders

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Preseason

WEEK 12 · 2026

The Week 12 job

Beat Baylor and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow67%Win72%Loss42%

Texas Tech

Texas Tech 81%Baylor 19%

Baylor

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

Priority 1

Utah

at

Root for

TCU

Root for TCU5.4-point playoff boost

TCU visits your schedule in week 13: keep them ranked.

70% if TCU wins65% with the other result5.4-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

Priority 2

BYU

at

Root for

Kansas

Root for Kansas2.4-point title-game boost

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings.

80% if Kansas wins77% with the other result2.4-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

Priority 3

Ohio State

at

Root for

Nebraska

Root for Nebraska2.7-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Nebraska winning protects it.

23% if Nebraska wins20% with the other result2.7-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance

…

…

FS1

Priority 4

Iowa State

at

Root for

UCF

Root for UCF1.4-point playoff boost

UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

67% if UCF wins66% with the other result1.4-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

…

…

NBC

Priority 5

Root for

SMU

at

Notre Dame

Root for SMU2.5-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and SMU winning protects it.

23% if SMU wins20% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

Priority 6

Georgia

at

Root for

South Carolina

Root for South Carolina2.2-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and South Carolina winning protects it.

22% if South Carolina wins20% with the other result2.2-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

Priority 7

Root for

NC State

at

Florida State

Root for NC State1.2-point playoff boost

NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

67% if NC State wins66% with the other result1.2-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

TBD

SAT NOV 21

TV TBA

Priority 8

Iowa

at

Root for

Illinois

Root for Illinois1.2-point playoff boost

Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

67% if Illinois wins66% with the other result1.2-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance

56 more games that don't move your needle

Houston at West Virginia

Arizona at Kansas State

Indiana at Washington

UNLV at San José State · CBSSN

Ball State at Ohio

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Kent State

Akron at Massachusetts

Bowling Green at Toledo · ESPN2

Central Michigan at Buffalo

Rice at Temple · ESPN

Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech

Clemson at Duke · ESPN

Oregon at Michigan State · FOX

Vanderbilt at Florida

Kentucky at Missouri

Texas A&M at Oklahoma

LSU at Tennessee

Arkansas at Texas

Colorado at Cincinnati

Oklahoma State at Arizona State

Virginia Tech at Miami

North Carolina at Virginia

Pittsburgh at Louisville

Stanford at California

Syracuse at Boston College

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech

UCLA at Michigan

Northwestern at Minnesota

Rutgers at Penn State

Wisconsin at Purdue

Maryland at USC

Colorado State at Fresno State · The CW Network

Utah State at Oregon State · CBSSN

Washington State at Texas State · USA Network

San Diego State at Boise State · USA Network

Old Dominion at UConn · CBSSN

East Carolina at Army · CBSSN

Charlotte at Tulsa

South Florida at Florida Atlantic

Memphis at Navy

North Texas at Tulane

UTSA at UAB

Hawai'i at Nevada

New Mexico at Wyoming · FS1

UTEP at Air Force · The CW Network

UL Monroe at App State

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Troy

Georgia State at Marshall

Delaware at New Mexico State

Florida International at Kennesaw State

Missouri State at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Liberty

Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston

South Alabama at Southern Miss

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.