Texas Tech Red Raiders

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 4 · 2026

87%

Big 12 title game

63%

Win the Big 12

>99%

Make the playoff

64%

First-round bye

avg seed 4.2

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-4 job: beat Sam Houston.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Your game. Just win.

Texas Tech 100%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Oregon at USC

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and USC winning protects it.

Oregon 63%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Oklahoma at Georgia

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Oklahoma winning protects it.

Georgia 81%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Northwestern at Indiana

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Northwestern winning protects it.

Indiana 97%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Illinois at Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Illinois winning protects it.

Ohio State 96%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Kansas State at Cincinnati

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings; Cincinnati visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

Kansas State 58%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Utah at Iowa State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Iowa State winning protects it.

Utah 76%

50 more games that don't move your needle

Colorado at Baylor

Army at Temple

Liberty at Coastal Carolina

Clemson at California

Navy at UAB

South Carolina at Alabama

Tulsa at Arkansas

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Ole Miss at Florida

Texas A&M at LSU

Missouri at Mississippi State

Texas at Tennessee

Arizona at Washington State

Houston at Georgia Southern

TCU at UCF

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Central Michigan at Miami

Delaware at Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Wake Forest at Louisville

UCLA at Maryland

Iowa at Michigan

Nebraska at Michigan State

Wisconsin at Penn State

Notre Dame at Purdue

Minnesota at Washington

Rice at Fresno State

San Diego State at Toledo

Troy at Utah State

Oregon State at UTEP

Colorado State at UTSA

Boise State at Western Michigan

UConn at Miami (OH)

Louisiana at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Tulane

South Florida at Bowling Green

Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

App State at NC State

South Alabama at Kentucky

New Mexico at New Mexico State

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

James Madison at Old Dominion

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.