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New Mexico Lobos

00 · 00 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
43%
MW title game
20%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-9 job: beat San José State.
Playoff odds by week

If New Mexico wins out: 66% to win the MW, 0% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves New Mexico's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
New Mexico at San José State

Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 49%; lose and they fall to 23%.

New Mexico 78%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Northern Illinois at UNLV

Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play UNLV in week 11.

UNLV 90%
52 more games that don't move your needle
Nevada at UCLA
UConn at Air Force
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Missouri at Arkansas
Florida at Georgia
Auburn at Ole Miss
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at Texas
Arizona at Texas Tech
Arizona State at BYU
Baylor at UCF
Kansas at TCU
Kansas State at Colorado
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Utah at Cincinnati
California at NC State
SMU at Syracuse
Boston College at Duke
Clemson at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Miami at North Carolina
Stanford at Louisville
Virginia at Wake Forest
Minnesota at Indiana
Wisconsin at Iowa
Illinois at Maryland
Washington at Nebraska
Northwestern at Oregon
Purdue at Penn State
Michigan at Rutgers
Ohio State at USC
Navy at Notre Dame
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Marshall at Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.