New Mexico Lobos
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
43%
MW title game
20%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves New Mexico's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Mountain West race: Air Force losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Air Force in week 13.
Air Force 58%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Nevada at UTEP
Mountain West race: Nevada losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Nevada in week 10.
Nevada 57%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Mountain West race: Hawai'i losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Hawai'i in week 7.
Arizona State 75%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.