Alabama Crimson Tide

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 9 · 2026

24%

SEC title game

12%

Win the SEC

35%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.9

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

If Alabama wins out: 53% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Alabama's path

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Purdue at Penn State

Purdue winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 97%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Auburn at Ole Miss

Auburn visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Ole Miss 84%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Wisconsin at Iowa

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 91%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

UAB at South Florida

UAB winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

South Florida 96%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Ohio State at USC

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 71%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Utah at Cincinnati

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 83%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Miami at North Carolina

North Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 93%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Florida at Georgia

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings.

Georgia 90%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Arizona at Texas Tech

Texas Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 91%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

South Carolina at Oklahoma

SEC race: Oklahoma losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oklahoma 72%

TBD

SAT OCT 31

Mississippi State at Texas

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas 90%

43 more games that don't move your needle

Delaware at Western Kentucky

Sam Houston at Missouri State

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State

Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee

Florida Atlantic at North Texas

Troy at James Madison

Tulane at Charlotte

Missouri at Arkansas

Arizona State at BYU

Baylor at UCF

Kansas at TCU

Kansas State at Colorado

Oklahoma State at Iowa State

California at NC State

SMU at Syracuse

Boston College at Duke

Clemson at Florida State

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh

Stanford at Louisville

Virginia at Wake Forest

Minnesota at Indiana

Illinois at Maryland

Washington at Nebraska

Northwestern at Oregon

Michigan at Rutgers

Nevada at UCLA

Navy at Notre Dame

Texas State at Boise State

Washington State at San Diego State

Colorado State at Utah State

Oregon State at Fresno State

UConn at Air Force

Army at Memphis

Temple at East Carolina

New Mexico at San José State

Northern Illinois at UNLV

Bowling Green at Western Michigan

App State at Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina at Georgia State

Florida International at Liberty

Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Marshall at Old Dominion

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.