Alabama Crimson Tide

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 10 · 2026

24%

SEC title game

12%

Win the SEC

35%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.9

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-10 job: beat LSU.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

If Alabama wins out: 53% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Alabama's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Alabama at LSU

Your game. Beat LSU and your playoff odds are 46%; lose and they drop to 16%.

Alabama 66%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 7

West Virginia at Texas Tech

Texas Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 98%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Penn State at Washington

Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 57%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Iowa at Northwestern

Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 81%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Texas A&M at South Carolina

South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 61%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

BYU at Utah

BYU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 78%

…

Miami at Notre Dame

Notre Dame winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Notre Dame 83%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Texas at Missouri

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 56%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Georgia at Ole Miss

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 53%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Kentucky at Tennessee

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Tennessee 87%

51 more games that don't move your needle

Vanderbilt at Mississippi State

Ohio at Akron

Buffalo at Miami (OH)

Ball State at Massachusetts

Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan

UTSA at Florida Atlantic

James Madison at Southern Miss

TCU at Arizona

Virginia Tech at SMU

South Florida at East Carolina

Arkansas at Auburn

Oklahoma at Florida

UCF at Kansas

Cincinnati at Houston

Colorado at Arizona State

Iowa State at Baylor

Oklahoma State at Kansas State

Clemson at Syracuse

Duke at NC State

Louisville at Georgia Tech

Florida State at Boston College

North Carolina at UConn

Nebraska at Illinois

Michigan State at Michigan

UCLA at Minnesota

Oregon at Ohio State

Maryland at Purdue

Rutgers at Wisconsin

Boise State at Colorado State

Texas State at Oregon State

Fresno State at Utah State

Charlotte at UAB

Temple at Navy

Rice at North Texas

Tulsa at Tulane

Air Force at Army

Hawai'i at UTEP

New Mexico at Nevada

Northern Illinois at San José State

Wyoming at UNLV

Georgia State at App State

UL Monroe at Arkansas State

Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina

Marshall at Georgia Southern

South Alabama at Louisiana

Liberty at New Mexico State

Delaware at Kennesaw State

Missouri State at Florida International

Sam Houston at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee

Louisiana Tech at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.