Alabama Crimson Tide

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Preseason

WEEK 4 · 2026

The Week 4 job

Beat South Carolina and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow29%Win33%Loss19%

South Carolina

South Carolina 27%Alabama 73%

Alabama

By importanceWatch plan

…

…

The CW Network

Priority 1

Central Michigan

at

Root for

Miami

Root for Miami3.8-point playoff boost

Miami winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

29% if Miami wins26% with the other result3.8-point differenceAlabama playoff chance

…

…

TV TBA

Priority 2

Texas

at

Root for

Tennessee

Root for Tennessee2.3-point playoff boost

Tennessee visits your schedule in week 7: keep them ranked.

30% if Tennessee wins28% with the other result2.3-point differenceAlabama playoff chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 3

Root for

Wisconsin

at

Penn State

Root for Wisconsin1.8-point playoff boost

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

31% if Wisconsin wins29% with the other result1.8-point differenceAlabama playoff chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 4

Delaware

at

Root for

Virginia

Root for Virginia1.6-point playoff boost

Virginia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

29% if Virginia wins28% with the other result1.6-point differenceAlabama playoff chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 5

Ole Miss

at

Root for

Florida

Root for Florida2.1-point title-game boost

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings.

18% if Florida wins16% with the other result2.1-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 6

Missouri

at

Root for

Mississippi State

Root for Mississippi State1.3-point playoff boost

Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 5: keep them ranked.

30% if Mississippi State wins29% with the other result1.3-point differenceAlabama playoff chance

50 more games that don't move your needle

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Texas A&M at LSU

Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN

Clemson at California · ESPN

Navy at UAB · ESPN

Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+

Oklahoma at Georgia

Arizona at Washington State · CBS

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Houston at Georgia Southern

Colorado at Baylor

Kansas State at Cincinnati

TCU at UCF

Utah at Iowa State

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Wake Forest at Louisville

Northwestern at Indiana · FOX

UCLA at Maryland

Iowa at Michigan

Nebraska at Michigan State

Illinois at Ohio State

Notre Dame at Purdue

Oregon at USC

Minnesota at Washington

Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network

San Diego State at Toledo

Troy at Utah State · CBSSN

Oregon State at UTEP · MW+

Colorado State at UTSA

Boise State at Western Michigan

UConn at Miami (OH)

Army at Temple · ESPN

Louisiana at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Tulane

South Florida at Bowling Green

Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

App State at NC State

South Alabama at Kentucky · SEC Network

New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

James Madison at Old Dominion

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.