The Pac-12 race
8 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
Week 4 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 4.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 4; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–1.9 | 62% | 38% | 2% |
 Texas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–2.5 | 40% | 19% | <1% |
 San Diego State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–2.8 | 32% | 14% | <1% |
 Washington State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.0–3.0 | 28% | 13% | <1% |
 Fresno State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.8–3.2 | 22% | 10% | <1% |
 Utah State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–3.5 | 15% | 6% | 0% |
 Oregon State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Colorado State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.