San Diego State Aztecs

0–0 · 0–0 PAC-12

Preseason

WEEK 4 · 2026

The Week 4 job

Beat Toledo and keep San Diego State's season in its own hands.

Your game

San Diego State at Toledo

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Pac-12 title-game chanceNow35%Win38%Loss33%

San Diego State

San Diego State 39%Toledo 61%

Toledo

Nothing else moves the path

the rest is background football

Nothing else meaningfully changes San Diego State's path. Watch the rest because it is football.

56 more games that don't move your needle

Boise State at Western Michigan

Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN

Clemson at California · ESPN

Navy at UAB · ESPN

South Carolina at Alabama

Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Ole Miss at Florida

Oklahoma at Georgia

Texas A&M at LSU

Missouri at Mississippi State

Texas at Tennessee

Arizona at Washington State · CBS

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Houston at Georgia Southern

Colorado at Baylor

Kansas State at Cincinnati

TCU at UCF

Utah at Iowa State

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Central Michigan at Miami · The CW Network

Delaware at Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Wake Forest at Louisville

Northwestern at Indiana · FOX

UCLA at Maryland

Iowa at Michigan

Nebraska at Michigan State

Illinois at Ohio State

Wisconsin at Penn State

Notre Dame at Purdue

Oregon at USC

Minnesota at Washington

Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network

Troy at Utah State · CBSSN

Oregon State at UTEP · MW+

Colorado State at UTSA

UConn at Miami (OH)

Army at Temple · ESPN

Louisiana at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Tulane

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Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

App State at NC State

South Alabama at Kentucky · SEC Network

New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

James Madison at Old Dominion

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+

Your rooting list:San Diego State. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.