New Mexico Lobos
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
43%
MW title game
20%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
Odds shown as of week 1 — precise rooting leverage exists only once the games in between are played.
If New Mexico wins out: 66% to win the MW, 0% to make the playoff.
Championship week
matchups are decided by the standingsMountain West Championship GameFri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts
UNLVvsNew MexicoYou're in this one25%
UNLVvsHawai'i20%
UNLVvsAir Force9%
New MexicovsHawai'iYou're in this one8%
UNLVvsWyoming6%
Win it and you're in: the five highest-ranked conference champions get automatic playoff bids. New Mexico plays in this game in 43% of the way-too-early sims.
The matchup gets scheduled once the regular season decides it — this page becomes the real game preview automatically. Week 14 kickoff windows and TV land with it.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.