The Sun Belt race
14 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
Sun Belt Championship Game: Fri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts. Winner takes the league's automatic playoff bid.
Week 14 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 1.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Madison | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.4–0.6 | 88% | 74% | 75% |
 Old Dominion | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.9–2.1 | 43% | 14% | 2% |
 Louisiana Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.9–3.1 | 17% | 3% | 0% |
 Marshall | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–3.0 | 13% | 3% | <1% |
 Louisiana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–3.2 | 11% | 2% | 0% |
 Troy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–3.7 | 9% | 1% | 0% |
 South Alabama | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–3.9 | 7% | 1% | 0% |
 Arkansas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–3.7 | 6% | <1% | 0% |
 Southern Miss | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Georgia Southern | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–5.0 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 App State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–4.8 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Coastal Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Georgia State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 UL Monroe | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.5–6.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.