The Big 12 race
16 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
Big 12 Championship Game: Sat, Dec 5 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX. Winner takes the league's automatic playoff bid.
Week 14 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 1.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.5–0.5 | 87% | 63% | >99% |
 Utah | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.5–1.5 | 58% | 24% | 62% |
 BYU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.8–3.2 | 16% | 4% | 4% |
 Kansas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.7–3.3 | 11% | 2% | 2% |
 Arizona | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–4.3 | 6% | 2% | 1% |
 TCU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.6–4.4 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–3.9 | 6% | 1% | <1% |
 Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.9–4.1 | 4% | <1% | <1% |
 Baylor | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–5.5 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kansas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 UCF | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–5.1 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Houston | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–4.8 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.6–6.4 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 West Virginia | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–6.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Oklahoma State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.3–7.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.