The American Athletic race
14 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
American Athletic Championship Game: Fri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts. Winner takes the league's automatic playoff bid.
Week 14 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 1.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 South Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.5–1.5 | 62% | 41% | 24% |
 North Texas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.4–1.6 | 52% | 25% | 8% |
 Tulane | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.3–2.7 | 19% | 9% | 2% |
 Memphis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–2.8 | 15% | 7% | 1% |
 East Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.6–2.4 | 16% | 6% | <1% |
 UTSA | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–2.9 | 14% | 6% | <1% |
 Navy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–2.6 | 13% | 4% | <1% |
 Army | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–3.2 | 7% | 3% | <1% |
 Florida Atlantic | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Temple | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 UAB | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Rice | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.6–6.4 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Tulsa | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Charlotte | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.2–6.8 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.