🏈 Fan Watch

#15Missouri Tigers

6–1 · 2–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
The Week 9 recap

Missouri lost to Vanderbilt. Playoff odds moved from 15% to 9%.

Your game

Missouri at Vanderbilt
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering15%Win25%Loss8%
Missouri
Missouri 44%Vanderbilt 56%
Vanderbilt
Final · Missouri 10–17 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Missouri wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Oklahoma
Final · Ole Miss 34–26 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Missouri did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Oklahoma won14% with the other result1.7-point differenceMissouri playoff chance
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SEC Network
Impact 2
Texas
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Texas 45–38 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Missouri did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Mississippi State won15% with the other result1.5-point differenceMissouri playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Alabama
at
Rooted for
South Carolina
Final · Alabama 29–22 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Missouri did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection5% if South Carolina won3% with the other result2.2-point differenceMissouri SEC title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 4
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Georgia Tech
Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Missouri did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Syracuse won15% with the other result1.2-point differenceMissouri playoff chance
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SEC Network
Impact 5
Auburn
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final · Auburn 33–24 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Auburn won instead, so Missouri did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Arkansas won14% with the other result1.2-point differenceMissouri playoff chance
47 other games had little impact
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
The rooting list was:Missouri, then Oklahoma, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Syracuse, Arkansas.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.