๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Buffalo Bulls

4โ€“3 ยท 3โ€“0 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Buffalo lost to Akron. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

Akron at Buffalo
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MAC title-game chanceEntering31%Win33%Loss12%
Akron
Akron 8%Buffalo 92%
Buffalo
Final ยท Akron 24โ€“16 BuffaloWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Buffalo wanted
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Impact 1
Ohio
at
Rooted for
Eastern Michigan
Final ยท Ohio 28โ€“21 Eastern MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 7.8-point title-game boost

Ohio won instead, so Buffalo did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Eastern Michigan won30% with the other result7.8-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Bowling Green
at
Rooted for
Kent State
Final ยท Bowling Green 21โ€“24 Kent StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.4-point title-game boost

Bowling Green lost, improving Buffalo's place in the Mid-American standings.

Entering-week projection35% if Kent State won30% with the other result4.4-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Western Michigan
at
Rooted for
Miami (OH)
Final ยท Western Michigan 17โ€“26 Miami (OH)Wish granted โœ“
Projected 3.4-point title-game boost

Western Michigan lost, improving Buffalo's place in the Mid-American standings.

Entering-week projection32% if Miami (OH) won29% with the other result3.4-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
49 other games had little impact
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech ยท ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia ยท ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State ยท ESPN2
Colorado at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Buffalo, then Eastern Michigan, Kent State, Miami (OH).

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.