๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Buffalo Bulls

3โ€“3 ยท 2โ€“0 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Buffalo was off. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Buffalo wanted
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Impact 1
Miami (OH)
at
Rooted for
Akron
Final ยท Miami (OH) 20โ€“7 AkronWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.4-point title-game boost

Miami (OH) won instead, so Buffalo did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Akron won29% with the other result4.4-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Toledo
at
Rooted for
Bowling Green
Final ยท Toledo 23โ€“28 Bowling GreenWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

Toledo lost, improving Buffalo's place in the Mid-American standings.

Entering-week projection32% if Bowling Green won28% with the other result3.8-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Northern Illinois
at
Rooted for
Eastern Michigan
Final ยท Northern Illinois 10โ€“16 Eastern MichiganWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Northern Illinois lost, improving Buffalo's place in the Mid-American standings.

Entering-week projection31% if Eastern Michigan won29% with the other result2-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Ball State
at
Western Michigan
Final ยท Ball State 0โ€“42 Western MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Western Michigan won instead, so Buffalo did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Ball State won30% with the other result2-point differenceBuffalo MAC title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Buffalo is off, then Akron, Bowling Green, Eastern Michigan, Ball State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.