๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Bowling Green Falcons

3โ€“3 ยท 1โ€“1 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Bowling Green lost to Central Michigan. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

Your game

Central Michigan at Bowling Green
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MAC title-game chanceEntering39%Win42%Loss10%
Central Michigan
Central Michigan 10%Bowling Green 90%
Bowling Green
Final ยท Central Michigan 27โ€“6 Bowling GreenWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Bowling Green wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Eastern Michigan
at
Miami (OH)
Final ยท Eastern Michigan 30โ€“44 Miami (OH)Went the other way โœ—
Projected 10.1-point title-game boost

Miami (OH) won instead, so Bowling Green did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection48% if Eastern Michigan won38% with the other result10-point differenceBowling Green MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Northern Illinois
at
Ohio
Final ยท Northern Illinois 21โ€“48 OhioWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.2-point title-game boost

Ohio won instead, so Bowling Green did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection43% if Northern Illinois won38% with the other result5.2-point differenceBowling Green MAC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Buffalo
at
Rooted for
Massachusetts
Final ยท Buffalo 28โ€“21 MassachusettsWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

Buffalo won instead, so Bowling Green did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection43% if Massachusetts won39% with the other result4.2-point differenceBowling Green MAC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Akron
at
Ball State
Final ยท Akron 28โ€“42 Ball StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Ball State won instead, so Bowling Green did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Akron won38% with the other result1.9-point differenceBowling Green MAC title-game chance
54 other games had little impact
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Bowling Green, then Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, Massachusetts, Akron.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.