๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Bowling Green Falcons

2โ€“2 ยท 0โ€“0 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2025
The Week 5 recap

Bowling Green lost to Ohio. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

Bowling Green at Ohio
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โ€ฆ
MAC title-game chanceEntering31%Win63%Loss22%
Bowling Green
Bowling Green 23%Ohio 77%
Ohio
Final ยท Bowling Green 20โ€“35 OhioWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Bowling Green wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Akron
at
Toledo
Final ยท Akron 3โ€“45 ToledoWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.9-point title-game boost

Toledo won instead, so Bowling Green did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Akron won31% with the other result4.9-point differenceBowling Green MAC title-game chance
49 other games had little impact
Army at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Florida State at Virginia ยท ESPN
TCU at Arizona State ยท FOX
Houston at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas ยท ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota ยท BTN
USC at Illinois ยท FOX
Duke at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas ยท TNT
UCF at Kansas State ยท FS1
South Alabama at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Utah State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern ยท BTN
Ohio State at Washington ยท CBS
Indiana at Iowa ยท Peacock
California at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia ยท FOX
UConn at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Rice at Navy ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force ยท FS1
Tulane at Tulsa ยท ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State ยท The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia ยท ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri ยท ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State ยท NBC
Washington State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at Stanford ยท ACC Network
App State at Boise State ยท FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP ยท ESPN+
BYU at Colorado ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Bowling Green, then Akron.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.