๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#14Iowa State Cyclones

5โ€“0 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Iowa State lost to Cincinnati. Playoff odds moved from 12% to 5%.

Your game

Iowa State at Cincinnati
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering24%Win34%Loss11%
Iowa State
Iowa State 57%Cincinnati 43%
Cincinnati
Final ยท Iowa State 30โ€“38 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Iowa State wanted
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Impact 1
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Houston
Final ยท Texas Tech 35โ€“11 HoustonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Iowa State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Houston won12% with the other result1.6-point differenceIowa State playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Colorado
at
TCU
Final ยท Colorado 21โ€“35 TCUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

TCU won instead, so Iowa State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if Colorado won23% with the other result2.2-point differenceIowa State Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
West Virginia
at
BYU
Final ยท West Virginia 24โ€“38 BYUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Iowa State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if West Virginia won24% with the other result2.1-point differenceIowa State Big 12 title-game chance
46 other games had little impact
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Miami at Florida State ยท ABC
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis ยท ESPNU
Duke at California ยท ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Iowa State, then Houston, Colorado, West Virginia.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.