๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#16Iowa State Cyclones

2โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

Iowa State beat Iowa. Playoff odds moved from 11% to 10%.

Your game

Iowa at Iowa State
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
playoff chanceEntering11%Win14%Loss9%
Iowa
Iowa 47%Iowa State 53%
Iowa State
Final ยท Iowa 13โ€“16 Iowa StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Iowa State wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Rooted for
Middle Tennessee
at
Wisconsin
Final ยท Middle Tennessee 10โ€“42 WisconsinWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Wisconsin won instead, so Iowa State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Middle Tennessee won11% with the other result1.5-point differenceIowa State playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Rooted for
Arkansas State
at
Arkansas
Final ยท Arkansas State 14โ€“56 ArkansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Arkansas won instead, so Iowa State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Arkansas State won11% with the other result1.3-point differenceIowa State playoff chance
47 other games had little impact
James Madison at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana ยท FS1
Illinois at Duke ยท ESPN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Baylor at SMU ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Ole Miss at Kentucky ยท ABC
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
Texas State at UTSA ยท ESPN+
UAB at Navy ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Missouri State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Mississippi State ยท ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Georgia Southern at USC ยท FS1
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama ยท SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Iowa State, then Middle Tennessee, Arkansas State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.