Kansas State Wildcats

1–3 · 0–1 BIG 12

In the books

WEEK 5 · 2025

The Week 5 recap

Kansas State beat UCF. Playoff odds moved from 3% to 4%.

Your game

UCF at Kansas State

…

FS1

Big 12 title-game chanceEntering6%Win8%Loss1%

UCF

UCF 35%Kansas State 65%

Kansas State

Final · UCF 20–34 Kansas StateWish granted ✓

Nothing else moves the path

the rest is background football

Nothing else meaningfully changes Kansas State's path. Watch the rest because it is football.

50 other games had little impact

BYU at Colorado · ESPN

Army at East Carolina · ESPN

Florida State at Virginia · ESPN

TCU at Arizona State · FOX

Houston at Oregon State · ESPN

Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC

Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN

USC at Illinois · FOX

Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network

Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN

Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2

Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT

South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU

Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN

Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+

Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+

LSU at Ole Miss · ABC

Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN

UCLA at Northwestern · BTN

Ohio State at Washington · CBS

Indiana at Iowa · Peacock

California at Boston College · ACC Network

Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2

Utah at West Virginia · FOX

UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+

San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+

Rice at Navy · CBSSN

Akron at Toledo · ESPN+

New Mexico State at New Mexico

Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1

Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU

Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network

Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+

Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+

Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network

Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN

Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+

Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2

Alabama at Georgia · ABC

Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU

Oregon at Penn State · NBC

Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN

San José State at Stanford · ACC Network

App State at Boise State · FS1

Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network

Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+

Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+

The rooting list was:Kansas State. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.