๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Ohio Bobcats

1โ€“2 ยท 0โ€“0 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 4 ยท 2025
The Week 4 recap

Ohio beat Gardner-Webb. Playoff odds moved from 8% to 6%.

Your game

Gardner-Webb at Ohio
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Game forecast
Gardner-Webb
Forecast TBA
Ohio
Final ยท Gardner-Webb 35โ€“52 OhioWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ohio wanted
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Impact 1
Toledo
at
Rooted for
Western Michigan
Final ยท Toledo 13โ€“14 Western MichiganWish granted โœ“
Projected 5.6-point title-game boost

Toledo lost, improving Ohio's place in the Mid-American standings.

Entering-week projection69% if Western Michigan won63% with the other result5.6-point differenceOhio MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
UNLV
at
Rooted for
Miami (OH)
Final ยท UNLV 41โ€“38 Miami (OH)Went the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

UNLV won instead, so Ohio did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection9% if Miami (OH) won7% with the other result1.7-point differenceOhio playoff chance
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Impact 3
Kent State
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Kent State 10โ€“66 Florida StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Florida State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ohio's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection8% if Florida State won6% with the other result1.6-point differenceOhio playoff chance
47 other games had little impact
Bowling Green at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Rice at Charlotte ยท ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers ยท FOX
Arkansas at Memphis ยท ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin ยท NBC
Syracuse at Clemson ยท ESPN
SMU at TCU ยท ESPN
Texas Tech at Utah ยท FOX
North Texas at Army ยท CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon ยท BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Michigan at Nebraska ยท CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame ยท NBC
North Carolina at UCF ยท FOX
Ball State at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
NC State at Duke ยท ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech ยท The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas ยท FS1
Delaware at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri ยท ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Florida at Miami ยท ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt ยท ESPNU
Washington at Washington State ยท CBS
Illinois at Indiana ยท NBC
Stanford at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor ยท FOX
BYU at East Carolina ยท ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP ยท ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State ยท FS1
Wyoming at Colorado ยท ESPN
California at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Michigan State at USC ยท FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Ohio, then Western Michigan, Miami (OH), Florida State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.