๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Ohio Bobcats

7โ€“4 ยท 5โ€“2 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 14 ยท 2025
The Week 14 recap

Ohio beat Buffalo. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

Your game

Ohio at Buffalo
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MAC title-game chanceEntering5%Win7%Loss0%
Ohio
Ohio 75%Buffalo 25%
Buffalo
Final ยท Ohio 31โ€“26 BuffaloWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ohio wanted
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Impact 1
Toledo
at
Rooted for
Central Michigan
Final ยท Toledo 21โ€“3 Central MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 28.7-point title-game boost

Toledo won instead, so Ohio did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Central Michigan won0% with the other result29-point differenceOhio MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Western Michigan
at
Rooted for
Eastern Michigan
Final ยท Western Michigan 31โ€“21 Eastern MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 11.9-point title-game boost

Western Michigan won instead, so Ohio did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Eastern Michigan won<1% with the other result12-point differenceOhio MAC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Ball State
at
Miami (OH)
Final ยท Ball State 24โ€“45 Miami (OH)Went the other way โœ—
Projected 8.0-point title-game boost

Miami (OH) won instead, so Ohio did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Ball State won5% with the other result8-point differenceOhio MAC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Kent State
at
Rooted for
Northern Illinois
Final ยท Kent State 35โ€“31 Northern IllinoisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.1-point title-game boost

Kent State won instead, so Ohio did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection6% if Northern Illinois won0% with the other result6.1-point differenceOhio MAC title-game chance
62 other games had little impact
Bowling Green at Massachusetts ยท ESPNU
Navy at Memphis ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Iowa at Nebraska ยท CBS
Utah at Kansas ยท ESPN
Air Force at Colorado State ยท FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech ยท ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico ยท CBSSN
Temple at North Texas ยท ESPN
Boise State at Utah State ยท CBS
Texas A&M at Texas ยท ABC
Indiana at Purdue ยท NBC
Arizona at Arizona State ยท FOX
Kentucky at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan ยท FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh ยท ABC
Houston at Baylor ยท TNT
Colorado at Kansas State ยท FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State ยท ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia ยท ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
UCF at BYU ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State ยท ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse ยท The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State ยท ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee ยท ESPN
Oregon at Washington ยท CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota ยท FS1
Penn State at Rutgers ยท BTN
Wake Forest at Duke ยท ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU ยท FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Army at UTSA ยท ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPNU
Florida State at Florida ยท ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State ยท FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia ยท ESPN
Rice at South Florida ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn ยท ABC
UCLA at USC ยท NBC
Northwestern at Illinois ยท FOX
North Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane ยท ESPNU
SMU at California ยท ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford ยท ESPN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Ohio, then Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Ball State, Northern Illinois.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.