๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

8โ€“2 ยท 6โ€“1 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Western Kentucky lost to LSU. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

Your game

Western Kentucky at LSU
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CUSA title-game chanceEntering31%Win33%Loss31%
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 11%LSU 89%
LSU
Final ยท Western Kentucky 10โ€“13 LSUWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Western Kentucky wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Missouri State
at
Kennesaw State
Final ยท Missouri State 34โ€“41 Kennesaw StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 27.0-point title-game boost

Kennesaw State won instead, so Western Kentucky did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Missouri State won20% with the other result27-point differenceWestern Kentucky CUSA title-game chance
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Impact 2
Jacksonville State
at
Rooted for
Florida International
Final ยท Jacksonville State 21โ€“27 Florida InternationalWish granted โœ“
Projected 6.3-point title-game boost

Jacksonville State lost, improving Western Kentucky's place in the Conference USA standings.

Entering-week projection35% if Florida International won29% with the other result6.3-point differenceWestern Kentucky CUSA title-game chance
57 other games had little impact
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah ยท ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
BYU at Cincinnati ยท FOX
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Western Kentucky, then Missouri State, Florida International.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.