๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Marshall Thundering Herd

4โ€“3 ยท 2โ€“1 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 10 ยท 2025
The Week 10 recap

Marshall lost to Coastal Carolina. Playoff odds moved from 3% to <1%.

Your game

Marshall at Coastal Carolina
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Sun Belt title-game chanceEntering27%Win31%Loss10%
Marshall
Marshall 81%Coastal Carolina 19%
Coastal Carolina
Final ยท Marshall 27โ€“44 Coastal CarolinaWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Marshall wanted
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Impact 1
James Madison
at
Rooted for
Texas State
Final ยท James Madison 52โ€“20 Texas StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 15.0-point title-game boost

James Madison won instead, so Marshall did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Texas State won21% with the other result15-point differenceMarshall Sun Belt title-game chance
50 other games had little impact
Fresno State at Boise State ยท FS1
UTEP at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Tulane at UTSA ยท ESPN
Memphis at Rice ยท ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas ยท ABC
Penn State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Rutgers at Illinois ยท NBC
Duke at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Miami at SMU ยท ESPN
UCF at Baylor ยท ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston ยท FS1
UAB at UConn ยท CBSSN
Army at Air Force ยท CBS
Navy at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State ยท TNT
East Carolina at Temple ยท ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida ยท ABC
Indiana at Maryland ยท CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota ยท BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College ยท ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State ยท FOX
Delaware at Liberty ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Virginia at California ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Purdue at Michigan ยท BTN
Arizona at Colorado ยท FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Nebraska ยท NBC
Washington State at Oregon State ยท CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State ยท ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy ยท ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at San Josรฉ State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Marshall, then Texas State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.