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North Texas Mean Green

00 · 00 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
52%
American title game
25%
Win the American
8%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-8 job: beat Navy.
Playoff odds by week

If North Texas wins out: 61% to win the American, 33% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
North Texas at Navy

Your game. Beat Navy and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to 3%.

North Texas 62%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
THU OCT 22
James Madison at App State

App State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

James Madison 93%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Pittsburgh at Miami

Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 87%
TBD
THU OCT 22
East Carolina at Memphis

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.

Memphis 64%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
California at SMU

California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

SMU 93%
49 more games that don't move your needle
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.