North Texas Mean Green

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 7 · 2026

52%

American title game

25%

Win the American

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 11.9

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

If North Texas wins out: 61% to win the American, 33% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Georgia State at James Madison

Georgia State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

James Madison 98%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

FRI OCT 16

Memphis at Tulane

American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 12.

Tulane 60%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Florida State at Miami

Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 91%

TBD

THU OCT 15

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion

Old Dominion winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Old Dominion 88%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Arizona State at Texas Tech

Arizona State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 93%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Navy at UTSA

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; UTSA visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

UTSA 64%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Virginia at SMU

Virginia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

SMU 80%

50 more games that don't move your needle

East Carolina at UAB

Florida International at Jacksonville State

Delaware at Middle Tennessee

Kennesaw State at Missouri State

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston

App State at Coastal Carolina

Auburn at Georgia

Mississippi State at LSU

Missouri at Ole Miss

Kentucky at Oklahoma

Alabama at Tennessee

Florida at Texas

Arkansas at Vanderbilt

Notre Dame at BYU

Cincinnati at West Virginia

Kansas at Kansas State

Oklahoma State at Houston

TCU at Baylor

Utah at Colorado

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech

Louisville at Syracuse

North Carolina at Duke

Pittsburgh at Boston College

Wake Forest at California

Ohio State at Indiana

Rutgers at Maryland

Penn State at Michigan

Northwestern at Michigan State

Nebraska at Oregon

Washington at Purdue

Wisconsin at UCLA

Washington State at Oregon State

Fresno State at San Diego State

Colorado State at Texas State

Florida Atlantic at Army

Charlotte at Temple

Tulsa at Rice

Kent State at South Florida

New Mexico at Hawai'i

Northern Illinois at Wyoming

San José State at UTEP

UNLV at Air Force

Ball State at Bowling Green

Massachusetts at Buffalo

Western Michigan at Central Michigan

Toledo at Eastern Michigan

Akron at Miami (OH)

Arkansas State at Southern Miss

Troy at Louisiana

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.