Texas Longhorns

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Preseason

WEEK 7 · 2026

The Week 7 job

Beat Florida and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow42%Win46%Loss26%

Florida

Florida 16%Texas 84%

Texas

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 1

Root for

Arkansas

at

Vanderbilt

Root for Arkansas2.2-point playoff boost

Arkansas visits your schedule in week 12: keep them ranked.

44% if Arkansas wins42% with the other result2.2-point differenceTexas playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

Auburn

at

Georgia

Root for Auburn2.9-point title-game boost

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings.

26% if Auburn wins23% with the other result2.9-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 3

Ohio State

at

Root for

Indiana

Root for Indiana1.6-point playoff boost

Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

43% if Indiana wins41% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 4

Root for

Missouri

at

Ole Miss

Root for Missouri1.9-point title-game boost

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; Missouri visits your schedule in week 10: keep them ranked.

25% if Missouri wins23% with the other result1.9-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance

52 more games that don't move your needle

Alabama at Tennessee

Florida International at Jacksonville State · ESPNU

Delaware at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Kennesaw State at Missouri State · CBSSN

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · ESPN2

East Carolina at UAB

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion

Memphis at Tulane · ESPN

App State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Mississippi State at LSU

Kentucky at Oklahoma

Notre Dame at BYU

Arizona State at Texas Tech

Cincinnati at West Virginia

Kansas at Kansas State

Oklahoma State at Houston

TCU at Baylor

Utah at Colorado

Florida State at Miami

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech

Louisville at Syracuse

North Carolina at Duke

Pittsburgh at Boston College

Virginia at SMU

Wake Forest at California

Rutgers at Maryland

Penn State at Michigan

Northwestern at Michigan State

Nebraska at Oregon

Washington at Purdue · FOX

Wisconsin at UCLA

Washington State at Oregon State · USA Network

Fresno State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Colorado State at Texas State · CBSSN

Florida Atlantic at Army · CBSSN

Charlotte at Temple

Navy at UTSA

Tulsa at Rice

Kent State at South Florida

New Mexico at Hawai'i

Northern Illinois at Wyoming · The CW Network

San José State at UTEP · MW+

UNLV at Air Force · CBSSN

Ball State at Bowling Green

Massachusetts at Buffalo

Western Michigan at Central Michigan

Toledo at Eastern Michigan

Akron at Miami (OH)

Arkansas State at Southern Miss

Georgia State at James Madison

Troy at Louisiana

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.